I thought I'd add my two cents worth to this thread. I actually went to Debbie's website, mostly for a laugh, and found it quite interesting. A few of the replies seem to have misinterpreted her premise (or at least my interpretation differs from theirs).
As I understand it, her theory is centred on the assumption that marine food webs are highly dependent on recycling. The follow-through of the theory then makes some sense if you assume that phytoplankton are dependent on the decomposed carcasses of higher organisms as a nutrient source. She starts with the statement that ocean ecosystems have a restricted capacity to fix nitrogen, then moves on to the availability of fixed nitrogen as the limiting factor for the system, restricting the ability of the plankton to produce protein despite their carbon fixation efforts. The next assumption is that tight cycling of organic material in the oceans provides phytoplankton with the fixed nitrogen necessary to produce enough protein to send around the food web again. Thus the tight cycling plus limited additional nitrogen fixation allowed a slow increase in the total biomass of the oceans over geological time. Consistent removal of consumer biomass through fishing has supposedly broken the fixed nitrogen cycle! We could conceivably remove the amount of consumer biomass that is equivalent to the protein produced from the small amounts of newly fixed nitrogen, less the amount required to compensate for nitrogen lost through inefficient assimilation during the previous cycle. The cycling would then continue at the same biomass levels ad infinitum. If we take more than this, then the poor little phytoplankton have less and less fixed nitrogen with which to make their protein, and the volume of material cycling through the system is gradually diminished leading to the collapse of fish populations. Therefore the 'obvious' solution is to replace the fish protein we have removed from the system with our kitchen scraps, much like a compost heap for one's veggie patch.
It all sounds nice and tidy. And is based on the oceans being an entirely closed system that receives no additional nutrient inputs from terrestrial ecosystems (such as suspended particulates in rivers or, more appropriately, fertilizers in run-off from farm land or sewage - which, without tertiary treatment, conveniently returns all that fish nitrogen we ate minus the 10% we assimilated of course!). And the 'solution' is (as she mentions) not suitable for oligotrophic waters. It is ironic that the marine ecosystem with the tightest nutrient cycling (coral reefs) would be devastated by this 'solution'. If a break in the nutrient cycle is the cause of fisheries decline, the solution should be the same everywhere, especially where nutrients are limited. Excretion of unassimilated material (generally thought to be about 90% of the energy that is consumed) is usually more important for nutrient cycling than the decomposition of carcasses (the assimilated 10%). It happens over a much shorter time frame (i.e. unassimilated material is returned to the system within hours of consumption, rather than at the end of the individual's life, plus the time it takes to cycle through the decomposers) and is already in a convenient form (urea). There have been studies in which schools of juvenile grunts appear to purposefully defecate near the coral heads they use as shelter (unlike most terrestrial aminals which usually make the effort to defecate as far as possible from their preferred hang-outs unless marking territory). This has been interpreted as an important part of the process by which the zooxanthellae (endosymbiotic algae living in the coral tissue, for anyone who is not a coral reef person or a fan of big words) get enough nutrients (can't remember the ref for this). Even if protein is assimilated with greater efficiency than overall energy content (as is presumed in the protein-poor marine environment), the percentage of assimilated material removed from the system by catching a fish should not disrupt the nitrogen component of the nutrient cycle enough to cause the system to crash in the spectacular manner that has been observed in many commercial fisheries. This, along with other flaws explained by previous contributors and several responses in which the evidence cited in support of the theory has been refuted or re-interpreted, should dictate that the rationale behind the theory must fall.
Having said all that, significant loss of organic material from the system may be one of the many factors contributing to the sad state of the world's fishery resources. The very different phases of a fish's life cycle mean that so many different things affect survival rates. And of course the relative importance of these is different for every species. Putting a stop to fishing to allow time for populations to recover and scientists to better understand them so that we can manage them better after recovery is the obvious answer to all except the fishermen, the politicians they vote for and those who eat a lot of seafood. Is there anybody left? Meanwhile, we do what we can. Being selective in your own purchases of seafood (avoiding at-risk species and products from countries with bad management reputations) is a way to contribute to the better management of fisheries around the world. And of course, it is important to continue with our research efforts aimed at understanding the system.
Another small point: I do think that it is important not to write off approaches like this one, as Debbie has clearly made an effort with her theory and submitted it (quite bravely) for examination by a scientific forum in the appropriate field. Many people would be happy to simply circulate this type of info through non-challenging, "preaching to the converted" channels, stirring up all kinds of tree/dolphin huggers, without trying to get feedback from those who would presumably be its most ardent critics. I have to admit I was tempted to just delete Debbie's message after the first paragraph. I didn't for two reasons: 1) rational feedback in good faith (i.e. considered responses rather than rubbishing) often produces a rational response, while lack of it might lead to greater scaremongering (e.g. the scientists are writing us off because they don't want to see the truth), and 2) even if the theory as a whole is a bit far off the mark, there is usually a grain of truth (sometimes even a pebble or a rock) in there somewhere.
Jo
Joanna Pitt, Ph.D. Benthic Ecology Lab BBSR Bermuda
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