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In a message dated 7/11/2006 1:14:24 P.M. Mountain Standard Time,
[log in to unmask] writes:
You are correct that there are other models available, and we did consider
other approaches. Going forward we may or may not stick with Ecosim.
However, we are in the early stages of developing an ecosystem approach to fishery
management in the Gulf of Mexico, and the primary purpose of our workshop is
to demonstrate to the Gulf Council whether ecosystem modeling is a feasible
way to approach some real world fishery issues.
Spending money developing an ecosystem approach to fishery management is
fine if the Council decides it should support basic research rather than use its
money getting better data for some problem fisheries. The web page does to
indicate how much the Council is considering devoting to this project - I
guess it is the low six figures? Less?
From my slight experience with Ecosim and such models at IWC, these models
are information sensitive. They are interesting toys at this stage, but have a
way to go the begin to provide useful management advice. I suggest that
Council may be disappointed with the short term benefit of looking at ecosystem
models instead of getting reliable catch and effort data specific to the GOM.
If NMFS really takes a 28% hit next year, you may want to reconsider the
expenditure.
Frank
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